17 Jun 2002
Spectra-Physics's president and chief executive Patrick Edsell tells Michael Hatcher about a year of two halves at the pioneering laser company.
From Opto & Laser Europe December 2001
In 1961 Spectra-Physics, US, became the first firm to sell lasers. Its 40th birthday came amid faltering
economic conditions and a plunge in demand for telecoms equipment. Of our five base markets, all except computer and microelectronics manufacturing have
performed at, or above, expectations. In the medical market we've seen strength in both diagnostic and
cosmetic applications. Image recording has also held up well because of the shift from film- and halide-based
systems to carbon-based plates and computer-to-plate printing. In industrial manufacturing there has
been a fundamental technology shift from carbon dioxide and arc-lamp-pumped devices to diode-pumped
high-power lasers. That market has held firm, and the research and development sector has been incredibly
strong, experiencing about 20% growth. So that's the good news. Then we have computers and
microelectronics manufacturing, which has been down by about 30% this year. And then there is telecoms.
We had a tremendous updraught in 1999 and 2000, but now we're in a nuclear winter. Overall, [the
good and the bad] balance out and our revenues will be up by 10-15% on last year. In general, I think that
the laser industry will do better than most high-tech industries. In the bad times, we won't do quite as badly
as other sectors, and in the good times we'll do better. It's an excellent time to be a broad-based laser firm,
especially if you're a world leader like we are. We
were ramping up like everybody else. In December 2000 we started shipping narrowband filters to a large
customer, and early this year we shipped a lot of lithium niobate components. Then it all stopped. We
expected sales worth USD 40 million this year, but we will actually achieve USD 10 million. Anyone that
says they know what's going to happen next is, as far as I'm concerned, smoking something. Some of the areas in which people were investing a lot of money a year ago look like they'll
never recover. At least we're now in a position to re-evaluate our investment and see where we want to
place our bets. Just 12 months ago everybody was adding capacity for passive components. There
was a USD 800 million market just for thin-film filters. Now it's a USD 300 million market that is projected
to be flat for the foreseeable future, but there is capacity out there for a billion dollars' worth of
sales. On the active side, a year ago everybody was talking about amplifiers. In Raman
amplification there was a battle between singlemode and multimode lasers. Singlemode lasers won because
their powers were higher, but the delay in the market has helped our multimode sources become competitive
with singlemode diodes. People also have a clearer view of the metro market now, and, fundamentally,
we still believe that the telecoms market is going to be a big one for lasers and optics firms. It will probably
not get back to the superheated growth that we saw in 1999-2000, but once the excesses get shaken out, the
market is likely to experience 15-25% growth, which is good - a lot more sane, and easier to make prudent
investments in. We see big opportunities for all of these. Diode-pumped ultrafast lasers are the holy grail. Once
their power is high enough it will be very interesting for the industrial customers. We have been able to
achieve this in the last couple of years, so I think that there are tremendous growth opportunities in that
area. For
continuous-wave lasers it is fibre Bragg gratings and wafer inspection: for smaller feature sizes, you need
ultraviolet light to do the inspection. For Q-switched devices there's via hole drilling, PC-board structuring
and resistor trimming. We don't expect huge growth next year. If our non-telecoms business grows by 10-15%, that
would be great in the current climate. Hopefully we'll see much higher growth in 2003 as the computer and
microelectronics market comes back strongly. We don't expect to see telecoms coming back until
2003.
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