Asia LED lamp sales ‘to grow 100% per year’ to 2016

08 May 2012

Demand for LED lamps for lighting in the Asia-Pacific region will hit 3.4 billion units in 2016.

Sales of LED lamps for general lighting applications in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region will reach nearly 3.4 billion units in 2016, according to a new forecast by market analyst company ElectroniCast. The figure equates to an average annual growth rate of 101.6% between 2011 and 2016.

In 2011, the street lighting category of LED lamp applications dominated the product market share in terms of consumption value in APAC. However, comments ElectroniCast, the General Service (“Type-A”) lamp is closing in fast and is forecast to overtake the street lighting category by 2013.

The analyst points out that there is a big difference in product category market share from the value data ($ million) versus the volume data (quantity/number of units), especially for the streetlight category. This is because there is such a huge difference in the relatively higher pricing for a streetlight lamp compared to the lower pricing for other types of lamp.

For example, in terms of volume (number of lamps) expected to be consumed, the street lighting category has an estimated (only) 1% of the total volume of LED-based lamps use in APAC in 2012.

Some designs of streetlight fixtures may feature than one lamp. Therefore ElectroniCast expects that the average street lamp will increase in brightness output over the forecast period (2011-2016). Consequently, fewer LEDs per lamp and fewer lamps per light fixture are expected to be required over time. The data considered by ElectroniCast counts the lamps rather than the fixtures.

The forecast also segments the market data by three major end-user categories: government, commercial/industrial, and residential/non-specific. Most of the streetlights come under the “government” category; the commercial/ industrial group is especially strong in the PAR lamps, MR lamps and Type-A lamps (near term).

LED linear/tube lamps and specialty lamps, such as high bay and flood lamps, are also counted, while the residential category is forecast to have “relatively strong” use of the general service (Type-A) style of lamps.

ElectroniCast estimates that 101.66 million LED lamps units were installed in the APAC region in 2011. The number of LED lamps used in 2016 is forecast to be nearly 3.39 billion units, representing an average annual growth rate of 101.6% (2011-2016).

National splits

Additionally, the APAC LED lamp forecast provides the market data by the following regional segments: Asia Pacific (Total), People’s Republic of China, Japan, Republic of Korea and the Rest of Asia.

The 679-page market forecast report is available from ElectroniCast Consultants at a cost of USD 4,200. For detailed information, contact Theresa Hosking: thosking@electronicastconsultants.com

About the Author

Matthew Peach is a contributing editor to optics.org