20 May 2015
Data center optics market to respond to content providers' switch from 40G to 100G, says IHS.IHS Infonetics.
The market analyst's biannual 10G/40G/100G Data Center Optics market size and forecast report tracks optical transceivers, or short reach optics, by speed, reach, wavelength and form factor. Considering the financial implications of these changes, the analyst reports that revenue from 10-, 40- and 100-Gigabit optical transceivers sold into the enterprise and data center markets grew 21% in 2014 to hit $1.4 billion, almost entirely due to increased 40G QSFP spending.
Andrew Schmitt, research director for carrier transport networking at IHS Infonetics, commented “The market for 100G data center optics is accelerating, but it has yet to be turbocharged by widespread data center deployment in the way 40G QSFP optics have. This will change dramatically in 2016 as cheap 100G silicon reaches production and QSFP28 shipments surge as a result. Next year is going to be huge for 100GbE.”
“The main types of optical communications devices in demand will be CFP2-ACO [CFP2 form factor pluggable analogue coherent optics] based on indium phosphide. This will be the breakout technology for photonic integration. I don't think 2016 will be a breakout year for silicon photonics, except in PSM4 QSFP28 applications, which will ramp.”
So which suppliers can expect to have significant market positions if these forecast changes come to pass? Schmitt commented, “I think the leader in CFP2-ACO will be Oclaro. The likes of Luxtera and Innolight will appear in 2km solutions, although the usual suspects, including IBM and Intel will likely be there as well.”
The expected growth in sales of relatively new technologies will be accompanied by a corresponding fall in older, alternative technologies. Schmitt said, “The IHS Infonetics numbers clearly show that 10G is already dying in the WDM area. The forecast growth for datacenter optics is really about the large-scale internet content providers moving very rapidly towards 100Gb Ethernet.”
Datacenter optics market report highlights
IHS Infonetics’ biannual 10G/40G/100G data center optics report provides worldwide market size, forecasts through 2019, analysis and trends for manufacturer revenue, units shipped and ARPU. The report analyzes the optical transceiver market by module speed (10G, 40G, 100G), reach, wavelength and form factor. To purchase the report, contact IHS Infonetics.
About the Author
Matthew Peach is a contributing editor to optics.org.
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